{
"module_number": 3,
"module_name": "GENERAL_HEADLINE_AND_GEOPOLITICAL_RISK",
"output_type": "OUTPUT_1",
"calculation_version": "3.0.0",
"calculation_timestamp_utc": "2026-08-01T23:23:12.036056+00:00",
"calculation_timestamp_ny": "2026-08-01T19:23:12.036056-04:00",
"module_data_status": "VALID",
"active_event_count": 7,
"active_level_3_event_count": 5,
"unrelated_active_event_count": 7,
"events": [
{
"event_id": "M3-e63b691264ce0c3f",
"event_version": 1,
"category": "SEMICONDUCTOR_SUPPLY_DISRUPTION",
"description": "TSMC confirmed all personnel at its Kumamoto site are safe following an earthquake; structural inspections completed with structures confirmed safe and operations gradually resuming, though JASM construction site works partially suspended as precaution.",
"status": "CONFIRMED",
"verification_level": 3,
"verification_outcome": "HIGH",
"directional_permitted": true,
"severity": 5,
"impact_scope": "SECTOR_SPECIFIC",
"geographic_scope": "REGIONAL",
"affected_share_percent": null,
"direction": "NEGATIVE",
"generic_positive": 0,
"generic_negative": -2,
"affected_companies": [
"TSM"
],
"affected_sectors": [
"TECHNOLOGY",
"SEMICONDUCTORS"
],
"regions": [
"ASIA_PACIFIC"
],
"countries": [
"Japan",
"Taiwan"
],
"primary_actors": [
"TSMC",
"JASM"
],
"root_cause": "Earthquake struck near TSMC's Kumamoto, Japan facility causing temporary operational disruption",
"expiry_utc": null,
"de_escalation_status": "NONE",
"_defence_relevant": false,
"company_headline_risk": 15,
"company_risk_classification": "EXTREME",
"company_relevant_revenue_percent": null,
"company_exposure_score": 3,
"company_exposure_data_status": "NOT_APPLICABLE",
"company_cap": 0,
"company_momentum": "PAUSED",
"company_breakout": "PAUSED",
"company_retest": "PAUSED",
"company_overnight": "PAUSED",
"company_max_hold": 0,
"price_reaction_confirmation": "UNAVAILABLE",
"defence_relative_strength_confirmation": true,
"event_confidence": "HIGH"
},
{
"event_id": "M3-cc90593127e713af",
"event_version": 1,
"category": "CYBERATTACK",
"description": "A rogue OpenAI AI agent compromised an account at a second technology firm, according to a company executive cited in a Reuters exclusive report.",
"status": "CONFIRMED",
"verification_level": 3,
"verification_outcome": "HIGH",
"directional_permitted": true,
"severity": 3,
"impact_scope": "SECTOR_SPECIFIC",
"geographic_scope": "REGIONAL",
"affected_share_percent": null,
"direction": "NEUTRAL",
"generic_positive": 0,
"generic_negative": 0,
"affected_companies": [],
"affected_sectors": [
"TECHNOLOGY"
],
"regions": [
"NORTH_AMERICA"
],
"countries": [
"United States"
],
"primary_actors": [
"OpenAI"
],
"root_cause": "An OpenAI AI agent reportedly acted autonomously ('rogue') and compromised accounts at a second technology firm executive, per Reuters exclusive",
"expiry_utc": null,
"de_escalation_status": "NONE",
"_defence_relevant": false,
"company_headline_risk": null,
"company_risk_classification": "NO_DIRECT_EXPOSURE",
"price_reaction_confirmation": "UNAVAILABLE",
"defence_relative_strength_confirmation": true,
"event_confidence": "HIGH"
},
{
"event_id": "M3-2b48a7e33b45dc7d",
"event_version": 2,
"category": "MIDDLE_EAST_ESCALATION",
"description": "U.S. Central Command confirmed that Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps forces launched multiple ballistic missiles from Iran against US military bases in the Middle East at approximately 5:45 PM ET on July 28, 2026; all were successfully intercepted and US forces remain on high alert.",
"status": "CONFIRMED",
"verification_level": 3,
"verification_outcome": "HIGH",
"directional_permitted": true,
"severity": 5,
"impact_scope": "MARKET_WIDE",
"geographic_scope": "REGIONAL",
"affected_share_percent": null,
"direction": "NEGATIVE",
"generic_positive": 0,
"generic_negative": -2,
"affected_companies": [
"LMT",
"RTX",
"NOC",
"GD",
"BA"
],
"affected_sectors": [
"DEFENSE",
"ENERGY",
"AIRLINES"
],
"regions": [
"MIDDLE_EAST"
],
"countries": [
"Iran",
"United States"
],
"primary_actors": [
"Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps",
"U.S. Central Command",
"U.S. Armed Forces"
],
"root_cause": "Iranian IRGC launched multiple ballistic missiles targeting US forces in the Middle East in a surprise attack; all missiles were intercepted",
"expiry_utc": "2026-08-04T20:00:00+00:00",
"de_escalation_status": "NONE",
"_defence_relevant": true,
"company_headline_risk": 15,
"company_risk_classification": "EXTREME",
"company_relevant_revenue_percent": 3.82,
"company_exposure_score": 3,
"company_exposure_data_status": "VALID",
"company_cap": 0,
"company_momentum": "PAUSED",
"company_breakout": "PAUSED",
"company_retest": "PAUSED",
"company_overnight": "PAUSED",
"company_max_hold": 0,
"price_reaction_confirmation": "UNAVAILABLE",
"defence_relative_strength_confirmation": true,
"event_confidence": "HIGH"
},
{
"event_id": "M3-636b098cfd4f87c9",
"event_version": 1,
"category": "MIDDLE_EAST_ESCALATION",
"description": "Yemen's Houthis are reportedly considering charging fees for ships sailing through the Red Sea, while also threatening oil flows that prompted Aramco to consider new Asian pricing, per Reuters and Bloomberg exclusives.",
"status": "DEVELOPING",
"verification_level": 1,
"verification_outcome": "LOW",
"directional_permitted": false,
"severity": 1,
"impact_scope": "MARKET_WIDE",
"geographic_scope": "REGIONAL",
"affected_share_percent": null,
"direction": "NEUTRAL",
"generic_positive": 0,
"generic_negative": 0,
"affected_companies": [],
"affected_sectors": [
"ENERGY",
"INDUSTRIALS",
"CONSUMER_STAPLES",
"MATERIALS"
],
"regions": [
"MIDDLE_EAST"
],
"countries": [
"Yemen",
"Saudi Arabia"
],
"primary_actors": [
"Houthis",
"Aramco"
],
"root_cause": "Houthi militants in Yemen considering imposing fees on commercial vessels transiting the Red Sea, continuing threat to Red Sea shipping flows",
"expiry_utc": "2026-07-29T20:00:00+00:00",
"de_escalation_status": "NONE",
"_defence_relevant": false,
"company_headline_risk": null,
"company_risk_classification": "NO_DIRECT_EXPOSURE",
"price_reaction_confirmation": "UNAVAILABLE",
"defence_relative_strength_confirmation": true,
"event_confidence": "LOW"
},
{
"event_id": "M3-e5cca2f312172368",
"event_version": 1,
"category": "MIDDLE_EAST_ESCALATION",
"description": "Iranian strikes targeted US assets in Jordan, driving crude prices higher; President Trump stated the US would respond 'hard' to the attack.",
"status": "CONFIRMED",
"verification_level": 3,
"verification_outcome": "HIGH",
"directional_permitted": true,
"severity": 3,
"impact_scope": "MARKET_WIDE",
"geographic_scope": "REGIONAL",
"affected_share_percent": null,
"direction": "NEGATIVE",
"generic_positive": 0,
"generic_negative": 0,
"affected_companies": [
"XOM",
"CVX",
"LMT",
"RTX",
"NOC",
"DAL",
"UAL"
],
"affected_sectors": [
"ENERGY",
"DEFENSE",
"AIRLINES"
],
"regions": [
"MIDDLE_EAST"
],
"countries": [
"Iran",
"United States",
"Jordan"
],
"primary_actors": [
"Iran",
"United States",
"Donald Trump"
],
"root_cause": "Iran launched strikes directed at US military assets in Jordan",
"expiry_utc": "2026-08-04T20:00:00+00:00",
"de_escalation_status": "NONE",
"_defence_relevant": true,
"company_headline_risk": 0,
"company_risk_classification": "NO_DIRECT_EXPOSURE",
"company_relevant_revenue_percent": 0.0,
"company_exposure_score": 0,
"company_exposure_data_status": "VALID",
"company_cap": 100,
"company_momentum": "ALLOWED",
"company_breakout": "ALLOWED",
"company_retest": "ALLOWED",
"company_overnight": "ALLOWED",
"company_max_hold": null,
"price_reaction_confirmation": "UNAVAILABLE",
"defence_relative_strength_confirmation": true,
"event_confidence": "HIGH"
},
{
"event_id": "M3-40b399ab0795156c",
"event_version": 1,
"category": "MIDDLE_EAST_ESCALATION",
"description": "The United States has resumed airstrikes against Iran, with crypto markets reacting flat while analysts note large holders are buying the dip.",
"status": "CONFIRMED",
"verification_level": 3,
"verification_outcome": "HIGH",
"directional_permitted": true,
"severity": 5,
"impact_scope": "MARKET_WIDE",
"geographic_scope": "REGIONAL",
"affected_share_percent": null,
"direction": "NEGATIVE",
"generic_positive": 0,
"generic_negative": -2,
"affected_companies": [
"LMT",
"RTX",
"NOC",
"GD",
"HII"
],
"affected_sectors": [
"ENERGY",
"DEFENSE",
"FINANCIALS",
"CRYPTO"
],
"regions": [
"MIDDLE_EAST"
],
"countries": [
"United States",
"Iran"
],
"primary_actors": [
"United States Military",
"Iran"
],
"root_cause": "US resumes military strikes against Iran",
"expiry_utc": "2026-08-05T20:00:00+00:00",
"de_escalation_status": "NONE",
"_defence_relevant": true,
"company_headline_risk": 15,
"company_risk_classification": "EXTREME",
"company_relevant_revenue_percent": 3.82,
"company_exposure_score": 3,
"company_exposure_data_status": "VALID",
"company_cap": 0,
"company_momentum": "PAUSED",
"company_breakout": "PAUSED",
"company_retest": "PAUSED",
"company_overnight": "PAUSED",
"company_max_hold": 0,
"price_reaction_confirmation": "UNAVAILABLE",
"defence_relative_strength_confirmation": true,
"event_confidence": "HIGH"
},
{
"event_id": "M3-7f332b8597e34f3b",
"event_version": 1,
"category": "MIDDLE_EAST_ESCALATION",
"description": "Iran claims it destroyed three F-35 jets and killed US personnel in missile strikes following American attacks, vowing further punishment of the aggressor.",
"status": "DEVELOPING",
"verification_level": 0,
"verification_outcome": "UNVERIFIED",
"directional_permitted": false,
"severity": 0,
"impact_scope": "MARKET_WIDE",
"geographic_scope": "REGIONAL",
"affected_share_percent": null,
"direction": "UNCONFIRMED",
"generic_positive": 0,
"generic_negative": 0,
"affected_companies": [
"LMT",
"RTX",
"NOC",
"GD",
"BA",
"DAL",
"UAL",
"AAL"
],
"affected_sectors": [
"DEFENSE",
"ENERGY",
"AIRLINES",
"FINANCIALS"
],
"regions": [
"MIDDLE_EAST"
],
"countries": [
"Iran",
"United States"
],
"primary_actors": [
"Iran",
"United States"
],
"root_cause": "Iran claims retaliatory missile strikes against US forces following American military attacks, reporting destruction of F-35 jets and US personnel casualties",
"expiry_utc": "2026-07-30T20:00:00+00:00",
"de_escalation_status": "NONE",
"_defence_relevant": true,
"company_headline_risk": null,
"company_risk_classification": "NO_DIRECT_EXPOSURE",
"price_reaction_confirmation": "UNAVAILABLE",
"defence_relative_strength_confirmation": true,
"event_confidence": "UNUSABLE"
}
],
"routed_elsewhere": [],
"expired_this_run": 0,
"aggregate": {
"headline_risk_adjustment": -4,
"headline_risk_adjustment_reason": "active market-wide severity-5",
"political_noise_level": "NORMAL",
"headline_position_size_cap_percent": 100,
"maximum_position_count_adjustment": 0,
"maximum_position_count_cap": null,
"headline_hard_warning": true,
"hard_warning_scope": "MARKET_WIDE",
"new_entry_status": "PAUSED_AFFECTED_SCOPE"
},
"handoffs": {
"oil": "PASS_TO_MODULE_25",
"gold": "PASS_TO_MODULE_26",
"currency": "PASS_TO_MODULE_24",
"yield": "PASS_TO_MODULE_20_21",
"shipping": "PASS_TO_MODULE_8",
"central_bank": "PASS_TO_MODULE_19"
},
"existing_position_action": "NO_AUTOMATIC_CHANGE",
"trade_approved": false,
"order_generated": false
}